AI vs. Human Judgment: Decision-Making When Navigation Data Clashes with Theory-Based Reasoning

Modern navigation technology has transformed the way we drive, with AI-powered systems like Waze providing real-time route optimization based on dynamic traffic data. Traffic alerts from police and news departments further enhance this information by warning of unexpected road hazards. However, AI-driven recommendations are only as good as the data they have at the moment, […]

Repair or Replace Redux - A Costly Tragicomedy of Information Errors

Repair or Replace Redux: A Costly Tragicomedy of Information Errors

I ended up paying over $1000 to repair my recumbent exercise bike. Several information errors contributed to a costly tragicomedy that locked me into an expensive decision cycle. Not only did I pay $384 more than necessary to fix my bike, but also I was left wondering whether I would have decided to stick with […]

How Decision Analysis Can Inform the Psychology of Regret

How Decision Analysis Can Inform the Psychology of Regret

I recently wrote a memorial in honor of Dr. Ron Howard who taught me how to live a no regrets life. So when psychology professor Catherine Sanderson, PhD recently posted an article titled “The Best Strategy for Avoiding Regret? Take a Chance: Why Regrets of Inaction Haunt Us the Most“, I clicked right away and […]

Celebrating Ron Howard's Impact, Dr. Duru and Professor Ron Howard (September 8, 2018)

In Honor of the Man Who Started My No Regrets Life: Professor Ron Howard

No Regrets and Transformation I live a no regrets life thanks to Professor Ron Howard. Everything started after I took Howard’s Decision Analysis 101 class at Stanford University in the first year of my graduate studies in Engineering-Economic Systems (now Management Science and Engineering (MS&E). I learned the basic yet fundamental premise that a decision’s […]

Repair or Replace? How Bad Information Can Derail Decision Quality.

Repair or Replace? How Bad Information Can Derail Decision Quality.

Over the summer my 18-year old recumbent exercise bike failed. The bike had saved me countless trips to the gym over the years, especially in the early years when I lived many miles away from a gym and bike trails. Now, with the pedaling locked into the hardest effort level, I faced an age-old decision: […]

How to Combine Cognitive Diversity With Data Tools for Effective Organizational Decision-Making

How to Combine Cognitive Diversity With Data Tools for Effective Organizational Decision-Making

Introduction This post is the first in a series of “working papers” where I will explore how cognitive diversity, knowledge management, artificial intelligence, and data democratization can work together to support effective organizational decision-making. These are exciting times for practitioners of data across the entire spectrum of professions. Our tools are expanding at a rapid […]

ChatGPT travel

How ChatGPT Planned My Family Vacation

Planning a family trip can be daunting. Parents and guardians must balance a myriad of preferences across eating, sleeping, and entertainment preferences all while maintaining a budget. A wrong turn or a small mishap can cascade into major vacation disruptions and undermine the best plans and budgets. I recently faced these important analytics challenges while […]

roller coaster

How My Son Taught Me About Better Decision-Making

My son recently taught me about better decision-making. He wanted to celebrate his birthday at California’s Great America amusement park with his closest friends. An imminent winter storm complicated the planning. While he and his friends were determined to go almost no matter the weather, I was hesitant. I psyched myself up for braving the […]

Bengals at Bills Win Probability, 2023 AFC Divisional Playoffs

The Importance of Scenarios When Facing Poor Odds of Success

American football is experiencing a data analytics movement. One of the most visible signs of this movement is the National Football League’s (NFL) partnership with Amazon AWS to create “Next Gen Stats” and “Stat That.” NFL coaches are also apparently increasingly turning to “the analytics” to make game critical decisions. Announcers and fans alike endlessly […]

Football

Football Analytics: Kick Extra Point, Worry Later About 2-Point Conversion

The Football Game Scenario The football game was early in the fourth quarter on November 15, 2020. The home team Carolina Panthers were down 32-17 to the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Bucs). Hope came alive for the Panthers after quarterback Terry Bridgewater ran up the middle for a 3-yard touchdown. With over 11 minutes to […]